The battle for the capital is approaching. Who has the greatest electoral potential? RESEARCH

The battle for the capital is approaching. Who has the greatest electoral potential? RESEARCH
The battle for the capital is approaching. Who has the greatest electoral potential? RESEARCH

In just three weeks, the people of Prague will know what the composition of the new administration of the municipality will be. According to the electoral potential survey, the coalition SPOLU is in the best position, but the ANO movement and Praha Sebe also appealed to a large number of voters. The old group Motoristé se is also experiencing growing potential.

The Phoenix Research agency conducted a survey of the electoral potential of parties and movements in Prague at the turn of August and September. To begin with, it should be emphasized that the electoral potential expresses the maximum possible profit if all people who consider its choice would vote for the party.

There was another crucial variable in the given survey, namely that each respondent had two votes available. But he didn’t have to use both. The table below does not show what the situation might look like after the elections, because the sum of all values ​​is almost 150%. It only shows the potential that the parties have in the upcoming battle for the Prague municipality.

Party/movement name Electoral potential – August/September (in %)
YES 24.2
TOGETHER for Prague (ODS, KDU-ČSL, TOP 09) 33.5
TENT 5.6
Pirates 15.2
Prague to yourself 22.8
Solidarity (ČSSD, Greens, Future, Idealists) 5.8
SPD, Trikolora, Hnúti PES and independents together for Prague 10.6
KSČM 3
Oath with the Patriots 2.2
Prague without chaos 6.6
Motorists themselves 7
Other 4.7
I don’t know, I can’t answer 8

The results of the survey show that the TOGETHER coalition has the greatest electoral potential in Prague, namely 33.5%. The second strongest is the ANO movement, but Prague has almost the same electoral potential. Over 15% of Prague voters are considering choosing the Pirates. The maximum potential of the STAN movement is only 5.6%.

Motorists themselves are an interesting group. The party was already founded in 2017 under the name Referendum on the European Union, but it did not win any mandate in the then elections to the Chamber of Deputies and disappeared from public awareness. In the meantime, however, it still had time to change its name to the Independence Party of the Czech Republic.

This June, however, she rose from the ashes, renamed herself Motorists and decided to run in the municipal elections in Prague. Its main goal, as the name suggests, is to defend the interests of motorists in the capital. Its electoral potential was 7% at the turn of August and September.

In the pre-election survey of the Phoenix Research agency at the turn of July and August, it did not even have its own category and was part of the “other” column.

For an idea, you can see how other parties fared in the survey in the table below. In this case, it is not about electoral potential, but preferences. The values ​​thus correspond to the result that could realistically occur in Prague.

Party/movement name Electoral preferences – July/August (in %)
YES 17.1
TOGETHER for Prague (ODS, KDU-ČSL, TOP 09) 26.6
TENT 3.7
Pirates 9.1
Prague to yourself 15.6
Solidarity (ČSSD, Greens, Future, Idealists) 3.1
SPD, Trikolora, Hnúti PES and independents together for Prague 3.1
KSČM 1.5
Oath with the Patriots 1.8
Prague without chaos 2.9
Motorists themselves x
Other 4.4
I don’t know, I can’t answer 11.2

In many places there will be no municipal elections at all:

TN.cz

The article is in Czech

Czechia

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