Hockey in numbers: Prediction of matches of the 42nd round Tipsport extraliga |


Thanks to our Game Score model, we bring you not only the prediction of the entire season but also the prediction of individual matches. What tips do we offer (not only) bettors before today’s matches of the 42nd round of the Tipsport extra league?

Today’s matches

Tipsport extra league continues matches for the fourth day in a row! Six remaining duels of the 42nd round of the regular season await us today. And in it a peppery hit between Pardubice and Sparta.

This will be the last match between these two giants in the regular season, so the next test of strength will potentially come in the playoffs. Going into today’s match, Pardubice are the favourites, with almost 60% chances of winning.

On home ice, Třinec, which is hosting Liberec, is also the favorite, and has a slightly over 60% chance of winning. It is the same in České Budějovice, where Motor will welcome Pilsen.

They have over 70% chances on the home ice of Karlovy Vary in the duel with Olomouc, here it will be important points for deployment to the preliminary round. The biggest favorites for today’s matches are Vítkovice on home ice, who will definitely want to score points against the last-placed Kladno.

The only favorite in the match as the visiting team today is Mountfield from Hradec Králové, which will present itself in Mladá Boleslav.

Our tips

HC Energie Karlovy Vary (1.69)

Our model believes Karlovy Vary in today’s match with Olomouc significantly more than bookmakers. But Olomouc will certainly not be an easy opponent, despite numerous absences they can be a very unpleasant team.

Mountfield HK (1.83)

The bookmakers see the match between the two teams with the worst finish as fairly even, slightly favoring the visitors. The Game Score model has much more confidence in the quality of Hradec Králové: it leans quite significantly on its side, creating an odds advantage for Mountfield.

Note: The numbers in brackets after the team name are Tipsport’s posted odds for that team to win the decider, unless otherwise stated.

About the Game Score model

You can read how the Game Score model works here. Before last season, our model underwent several changes, which you can learn more about in this article. How the prediction itself is based on it is described in more detail here. An overview of complete predictions before the start of this season can be found here.

The main role in the predictions of individual matches is played by the current roster of the team, which takes into account injuries or match penalties. The home environment is also a factor, with home teams winning more than 57% of their games over the past three seasons.

The odds of individual teams in a match are determined based on the results of 50,000 simulations. And the odds, which you can find in the last column, are based on the percentage chance of the given team winning. Last season, our model correctly identified the match winner 62% of the time.

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The article is in Czech

Tags: Hockey numbers Prediction matches #42nd Tipsport extraliga Hokej .cz


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