Heisman Trophy: Betting Contenders vs. Pretenders

Heisman Trophy: Betting Contenders vs. Pretenders
Heisman Trophy: Betting Contenders vs. Pretenders

We are ten weeks into the college football season and the race for the Heisman Trophy is more wide-open than ever this late in a season.
Last week we placed the candidates for college football’s top individual honor into three categories: Pretenders, Contenders: No Betting Value, and Contenders: Take a Taste.

Below is last week’s list along with their Heisman odds from last week courtesy of BetMGM:


Jordan Travis, FSU QB (+900)
Bo Nix, Oregon QB (+1600)

Contenders: No Betting Value

JJ McCarthy, Michigan QB (+240)
Dillon Gabriel, Oklahoma QB (+1200)

Contenders: Take a Taste

Jayden Daniels, LSU QB (+325)
Michael Penix, Jr., Washington QB (+300)
Marvin Harrison, Jr., Ohio State WR (+1800)

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An Oklahoma loss and dominant Oregon win later, the list and the odds have changed:


Jordan Travis (+800) – He simply won’t face a quality defense the rest of the season. Doubtful even video game numbers can get him to New York as a finalist.

Dillon Gabriel (+2500) – The Sooner signal-caller threw it only 19 times for a mere 171 yards without a touchdown last week in a loss at Kansas. Oklahoma may have a path to the playoff, but Gabriel’s path to the podium has gone from unlikely to not happening.

Contenders: No Betting Value

JJ McCarthy (+300) – Not much has changed in a week for the Wolverine. McCarthy is enjoying a special season, but how much is he benefitting from the schedule and from the Michigan defense? With Ohio State looming, he has a path to NYC but not enough juice to make the squeeze worthwhile.

Michael Penix, Jr. (+275) – Penix has not been the same player the last two weeks that he was through the first six weeks of the season. Injured? Tired? Not sure, but like McCarthy, the stats, current odds, and remaining opponents do not engender confidence.

Contenders: Take a Taste

Jayden Daniels (+450) – It is exam week for Daniels and his eye-popping numbers as LSU heads to Tuscaloosa for a date with Nick Saban and Alabama. If LSU can upset the Tide and avoid a third loss, Daniels will become the favorite so this is effectively the last call. For those wondering, it’s not often that the Heisman winner played for a team with multiple losses, but it happened. Ask Mark Ingram, Tim Tebow, and Lamar Jackson.

Bo Nix (+600) – My views on Nix are similar to my thoughts on McCarthy. Really good quarterback buoyed by a really good team. So why the move to contender status? Because Bo’s stats are that much better than JJ’s and the Ducks appear to be that much better than the Wolverines. Add in the fact his odds are twice McCarthy’s and its worth a taste.

Marvin Harrison, Jr. (+1000) – The Ohio State wideout’s candidacy is gaining steam. As a result, his odds have as well. He needs to maintain the dominant numbers the next few weeks leading into the Big Game, but more than anything, Maserati Marv needs to dominate the field against Michigan. If he does that against the vaunted Wolverine defense, Harrison clinches a spot for the Buckeyes in the playoffs and gets a ticket to the Big Apple.

Understand that you will not get better numbers after this weekend for anyone who remains an actual threat to earn the award. Anything less than special the rest of the season dooms a player (and probably his team).

Enjoy Week 10 and enjoy the sweat.

Bet the Edge is your source for the day in sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick’s insight Tuesday through Saturday at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your podcasts.

*all odds courtesy of BetMGM

The article is in Czech

Tags: Heisman Trophy Betting Contenders Pretenders


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