The San Francisco 49ers, led by Brock Purdy, will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes, and compete for the championship title in Super Bowl LVIII on Feb. 11.
The Kansas City Chiefs are aiming to win back-to-back Super Bowl titles for the first time since the New England Patriots achieved the feat in 2003 and 2004. This will be the Chief’s sixth Super Bowl appearance and fourth in the past five seasons.
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes did not have his best regular season in 2023 but has been performing well in the postseason. In the NFL playoffs, Mahomes has completed 70% of his passes and thrown 11 touchdowns with no interceptions.
It’s not surprising that the San Francisco 49ers made it to the Super Bowl, given their impressive 12-5 record and overall great regular season. This will mark San Francisco’s eighth appearance in the Super Bowl in franchise history. The 49ers boast a highly efficient quarterback in Brock Purdy, as well as several talented playmakers including Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and Christian McCaffrey. This lineup has set the stage for a must-see title game.
As of Friday and a little over a week until the big game, here are the predictions for Super Bowl LVIII.
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2024 Super Bowl predictions for San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
BetMGM: Chiefs to win their third Super Bowl in five years
Staff writes: “For the entire season, the 49ers are 25th in rush EPA per play allowed and 27th in rushing success rate allowed. Even since acquiring Chase Young in Week 10, they’re 19th in rush EPA per play allowed and 23rd in rush success rate allowed. Although the Chiefs managed only 2.8 yards per attempt on the ground in Baltimore, they thrived in earlier postseason games. Against the Bills and Dolphins, who finished the regular season 17th and 16th in rush defense DVOA, they averaged 6.1 and 4.3 yards per rush, respectively. Given the 49ers ranked 15th in rush defense DVOA during the regular season, expect Kansas City to dominate on the ground. Lastly, Patrick Mahomes is 11-1-1 ATS as an underdog for his career, and postseason underdogs that move by at least half a point are 69.2% ATS. For those reasons, take the Chiefs to win their third Super Bowl in five years.”
ESPN: 49ers have a 59% chance to win
According to the ESPN Matchup Predictor, the San Francisco 49ers have a 59.4% chance of beating the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII.
Sporting News: Chiefs 30, 49ers 24
Bill Bender writes: “Kansas City has allowed more than 24 points in one game this season, and that defense might make the difference in the fourth quarter one more time. If the Chiefs need a score with the game on the line late, then can you trust Mahomes? San Francisco allowed 26 points per game in the playoffs. This will be a 27-24 game either way, and our guess is Mahomes finds a way to win a third Super Bowl.”
New York Post: 49ers
Sean Treppedi writes: “Brock Purdy continues to be unvalidated for irrelevant reasons, such as his draft position, yet he continues to extract the best from the talent around him while taking plays into his own hands when needed. Isn’t that the textbook description of a successful quarterback? Either that or a league-leading 72.7 QBR and a 113.3 passer rating. We love to get caught up in narratives, and there is certainly plenty to discuss with two perennial contenders for the better part of a decade. But when it comes down to what’s on the field, let’s call it square on two top-three defenses in points allowed. I see this as the unrelenting chemistry between Mahomes and Travis Kelce — who connected on all 11 attempts against Baltimore — against an overwhelming cast of star power. Mahomes’ connection with Kelce has accounted for more than 36 percent of his air yardage in the playoffs. Calling him a one-trick pony would be ignorant, but the 49ers are deploying four players with 100-plus total yards in the playoffs . They more than doubled the Chiefs in average scoring margin. Whether Vegas perceives Mahomes as an underdog or not, the public will always favor him at this point. Ignore the storylines and take the early edge with San Francisco.”
Bleacher Report: Chiefs 27, 49ers 21
Staff writes: “The game between the Chiefs and 49ers will be a rematch of Super Bowl LIV, when Kansas City won 31-20. Kansas City came into Sunday’s AFC Championship Game as an underdog, but Mahomes said the Chiefs “never feel like underdogs .” As far as the odds are concerned, though, they will be underdogs once again against the 49ers in the Super Bowl. Compared to the last three Chiefs teams that reached the Super Bowl, this one didn’t dominate throughout the regular season and faced plenty of doubt heading into the postseason. Kansas City proved this year, however, that any team coached by Andy Reid and led by Mahomes has a fighting chance. San Francisco came into the season hungry for a Super Bowl, and the 49ers have looked like one of the top teams in football all year. Led by star running back Christian McCaffrey and promising quarterback Brock Purdy, the 49ers certainly have what it takes to keep up with Kansas City’s electric offense. With a powerful offense and a more than capable defense , the 49ers will look to avenge the Super Bowl loss from 2019. However, with the way Mahomes has played this postseason, the Chiefs will be tough to beat.”
San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs odds, spread and lines for Super Bowl LVIII
The San Francisco 49ers are favorites to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII according to the BetMGM NFL odds. Looking to wager?
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All odds as of Friday morning.
- Spread: 49ers (-1)
- Moneylines: 49ers (-120), Chiefs (+100)
- Over/under: 47.5
How to watch Super Bowl LVIII: TV, streaming and schedule for San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
When: Sunday, Feb. 11 at 6:30 p.m. ET
Where: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
Cable TV: CBS
Streaming: Paramount+; YouTube TV; Slings; FuboTV
How to watch: Catch the Super Bowl with a Fubo subscription
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