Russian authorities have been breaking promises regarding the terms of mobilization from the start, ISW claims

Russian authorities have been breaking promises regarding the terms of mobilization from the start, ISW claims
Russian authorities have been breaking promises regarding the terms of mobilization from the start, ISW claims

Washington – The Russian authorities began to violate the terms of the partial mobilization on the very first day after its announcement. The set quotas for conscripts for individual regions will probably be met, but this does not mean that Moscow will gain effective combat power through mobilization. In its regular analysis of the war in Ukraine, the American institute ISW stated this.

Russian President Vladimir Putin announced the partial mobilization on Wednesday. Russian officials announced the same day that 300,000 men would be affected, and only those with prior military experience.

Western and some Russian media reported on Thursday cases of Russian military commissars handing out summonses to arrested protesters in Moscow and Voronezh. Russian opposition media also reported on a bank IT specialist who received a conscription order despite never serving in the military or attending military training courses. A student at a university in Buryatsk has released footage of police allegedly pulling students out of class, despite Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu repeatedly saying Russian students would not be mobilized.

“Kremlin-imposed quotas are likely to force regional leaders to mobilize any men, regardless of their military experience,” ISW said, adding that many recruits will immediately enter the army with poor morale. “The Kremlin’s approach (…) is unlikely to produce effective troops and without much benefit will provoke negative reactions on the domestic scene,” the institute added.

Recruiting officials and police also use unscrupulous mobilization practices, issuing summonses by phone, issuing them in the middle of the night, or informing men of mobilization through welfare websites, according to some testimony.

According to the American think tank, the Kremlin will probably disproportionately mobilize ethnically non-Russian and immigrant groups. Kirill Kabanov, a member of the pro-Kremlin Human Rights Council, proposed compulsory military service for Central Asian immigrants. He threatened that if they refused, they would be stripped of their Russian citizenship. The magazine Nastojaščeje vremja reported on a village in Buryatsk where about 700 men were taken out of a total population of 5,500, i.e. 25 percent of the male population. The Armenian Telegram channel published a list of those mobilized from Tuapse in the Krasnodar region, which is said to be 90 percent ethnic Armenians, although the Armenian community makes up only 8.5 percent of the city’s population.

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