Hockey in numbers: Prediction of the sixth game of the Tipsport extraliga final | Hokej.cz

Thanks to our Game Score model, we bring you not only the prediction of the entire season but also the prediction of individual matches. What tip do we offer to (not only) bettors before today’s Tipsport extraliga playoff final match?

Today’s match

The Extraliga season is approaching its climax: if Pardubice wins, today could be the last game of the season! Dynamo managed the fifth duel much better than Třinec and won 3:0 on home ice.

The Steelers also have a chance to answer in front of their own fans. To be successful, however, Třinec would first of all need to improve his productivity, both in the 5-on-5 game and especially in power plays, in which he hasn’t scored for almost 20 minutes! The last time Libor Hudáček prevailed in the number three duel.

Pardubice are again the favorites for today’s match, but Třinec have a slight advantage on the ice. Their chances of winning are between 51 and 52%. Will Dynamo celebrate the title today, or will the Steelers again force a seventh game, just like they did in the semi-final against Sparta?

Our tip

Bookmakers today favor Pardubice slightly more than our model. There is no exchange rate advantage on either side.

About the Game Score model

You can read how the Game Score model works here. Before last season, our model underwent several changes, which you can learn more about in this article. How the prediction itself is based on it is described in more detail here. An overview of complete predictions before the start of this season can be found here.

The main role in the predictions of individual matches is played by the current roster of the team, which takes into account injuries or match penalties. The home environment is also a factor, with home teams winning more than 57% of their games over the last three seasons.

The odds of individual teams in a match are determined based on the results of 50,000 simulations. And the odds, which you can find in the last column, are based on the percentage chance of the given team winning. In the regular season, our model correctly determined the winner of the match 62% of the time.

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