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In Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Boston Celtics will go up against the Miami Heat. The Celtics are currently solid 8-point favorites against the Heat. The over/under for the game is set at 205.
Here is everything you need to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET
- Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
- TV: TNT, NBCS-BOS, and BSSUN
Favorites | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | -8 | -110 | -110 | 205 | -110 | -110 | -325 | +260 |
Celtics vs. Heat Prediction
ATS Pick: Heat (+ 8)
O/U Pick: over (205)
Score Prediction: Celtics 116 – Heat 108
Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights
- Of 82 games so far this year, the Celtics have played 76 with more than 205 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under.
- This year, 65 of the Heat’s 82 games have had a combined total of more than 205 points scored.
- Between them, these two teams average 25.7 more points per game (230.7) than this game’s over/under (205).
- The Celtics and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 12.6 more points per game than the point total of 205 set for this game.
- Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 78 games this year and has walked away with the win 62 times (79.5%) in those games.
- Miami has come away with 11 wins in the 35 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
- Boston has come out on top in four of its last five head-to-head matchups against Miami.
- The Heat have a 3-2 record against the spread when taking on the Celtics.
Boston Celtics
BAREFOOT
-8.5
-347
o205
Miami Heat
MIA
+8.5
+276
u205
Celtics Recent Trends
- The Celtics have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in their last 10 games.
- Boston’s average total over the last 10 games is 15.1 points more than the 205 over/under given for this matchup.
- The Celtics have played 82 games, with 42 wins against the spread.
- Boston has been favored by 8 points or more 49 times this season and are 25-21-3 ATS in those contests.
- Celtics games this year have gone over the point a total of 43 times in 82 opportunities (52.4%).
- The 120.6 points per game the Celtics put up are 12.2 more points than the Heat allow (108.4).
- Boston is 40-25-3 against the spread and 58-10 overall when scoring more than 108.4 points.
- This season, the Celtics have a 48.7% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.0% higher than the 46.7% of shots the Heat’s opponents have hit.
- When playing at home, the Celtics have a better record against the spread (23-17-1) compared to their ATS record in road games (19-19-3).
- Looking at point totals, Boston hits the over more often when playing at home, as it has gone over the total 22 times in 41 opportunities this season (53.7%). On the road, it has hit the over 21 times in 41 opportunities (51.2%).
- The Celtics have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 37-4 (.902). In road games as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 25-12 (.676).
Celtics Recent Stats
State | Average | Rank |
---|---|---|
Points Scored | 120.6 | 2 |
Points Allowed | 109.2 | 5 |
Rebounds | 46.3 | 2 |
Assists | 26.9 | 14 |
Steals | 6.8 | 26 |
Blocks | 6.6 | 1 |
Celtics Leaders
- Jayson Tatum posts 26.9 points, 8.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.0 steals and 0.6 blocks.
- Jaylen Brown posts 23.0 points, 3.6 assists and 5.5 boards per contest.
- Derrick White averages 15.2 points, 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steals and 1.2 blocks.
- Kristaps Porzingis puts up 20.1 points, 7.2 boards and 2.0 assists per game, shooting 51.6% from the field and 37.5% from downtown with 1.9 made treys per contest.
- Jrue Holiday posts 12.5 points, 5.4 boards and 4.8 assists per game. At the other end he averages 0.9 steals and 0.8 blocks.
Celtics Player Props
Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG (Reg. Season) | |
---|---|---|---|
Jayson Tatum | 26.5 | -118 | 26.9 |
Jaylen Brown | 21.5 | -120 | 23.0 |
Kristaps Porzingis | 16.5 | +102 | 20.1 |
Derrick White | 12.5 | +102 | 15.2 |
Jrue Holiday | 9.5 | -122 | 12.5 |
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall in their past 10 games.
- Miami’s average total over the last 10 games is 9.9 points greater than the 205 over/under listed for this matchup.
- The Heat are 41-39-2 against the spread this year.
- So far this season, Miami has been installed as underdogs by an 8-point margin or more six times and are 3-3 ATS in those contests.
- Heat games this year have gone over the point total 42.7% of the time (35 out of 82 games with a set point total).
- The Heat’s 110.1 points per game are only 0.9 more points than the 109.2 the Celtics allow.
- Miami has put together a 28-12-1 ATS record and a 33-8 overall record in games it scores more than 109.2 points.
- The Heat have shot at a 46.5% rate from the field this season, 1.2 percentage points greater than the 45.3% shooting opponents of the Celtics have averaged.
- In 2023-24 against the spread, the Heat have a lower winning percentage at home (.390, 16-25-0 record) than away (.610, 25-14-2).
- Looking at the over/under, Miami’s games have gone over 21 of 41 times at home (51.2%), and 14 of 41 on the road (34.1%).
- The Heat, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (22-9) than away (13-3) this year.
Heat Recent Stats
State | Average | Rank |
---|---|---|
Points Scored | 110.1 | 26 |
Points Allowed | 108.4 | 3 |
Rebounds | 42.3 | 25 |
Assists | 25.8 | 18 |
Steals | 7.5 | 15 |
Blocks | 3.4 | 30 |
Heat Leaders
- Bam Adebayo delivers 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game for the Heat.
- The Heat are getting 19.8 points, 4.0 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game from Terry Rozier this year.
- Jaime Jaquez is averaging 11.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. He is draining 48.9% of his shots from the field.
- Duncan Robinson is putting up 12.9 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. He is draining 45.0% of his shots from the field and 39.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 treys per contest.
- Tyler Herro gets the Heat 20.8 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game while delivering 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
Heat Player Props
Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG (Reg. Season) | |
---|---|---|---|
Tyler Herro | 20.5 | -110 | 20.8 |
Bam Adebayo | 19.5 | -105 | 19.3 |
Caleb Martin | 9.5 | -118 | 10.0 |
Nikola Jovic | 7.5 | -102 | 7.7 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.