“The Russians will break through. Anywhere.” They already write it here too. Ukraine in trouble?

A few days ago, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyi noted in an interview with the Washington Post that if the Americans do not help his country, do not send enough military equipment and ammunition, the soldiers will have to gradually withdraw from all positions.

Politico has now issued a similar warning. “Ukraine is currently in great danger of the collapse of the military lines,” reads the title of the article.

“The military situation is bleak, according to senior Ukrainian officers, and Russian generals could celebrate success wherever they decide to focus their upcoming offensive,” Politico elaborated.

The Ukrainians urgently need 155mm artillery shells, but also Patriot air defense systems and a really large number of drones. But be careful. The server Politico claims that even if in the end the Americans feel free to continue helping the attacked nation, it may no longer be enough. The queue might be shaken up one way or another. Already because of modified glide bombs that the Russians use and which, according to experts, are capable of smashing some parts of the front line to pieces.

“There is nothing that can help Ukraine now, because there are no serious technologies that would compensate Ukraine for the large number of troops that Russia is likely to throw at us. We don’t have the technology, and the West doesn’t have it in sufficient numbers,” one senior military source told Politico, speaking on condition of anonymity.

Russia fired over 3,000 guided aerial bombs, 600 drones and 400 missiles at Ukraine in March alone, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Wednesday. At his words reported the Reuters agency.

But even the Politico server is not quite throwing a flint in the rye yet. It is said that big Russian mistakes can help the Ukrainians. They showed last Saturday that they are still committing them.

“Mistakes like on Saturday, when Russia launched one of the largest tank attacks on Ukrainian positions since the start of its full invasion, only for the column to be crushed by the Ukrainian 25th Brigade, knocking out a dozen tanks and 8 infantry fighting vehicles,” the server pointed out.

Server Kyiv Post wrote, that NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg has shown that he is serious about helping Ukraine. “The head of NATO allocated 100 billion euros for arming Ukraine,” Kyiv Post wrote.

The proposal is built so that 32 NATO countries contribute to the fund for Ukraine according to the size of their economy.

NATO foreign ministers will discuss the plan on Wednesday in Brussels, where they will try to create a support package for Ukraine for the July summit in Washington.

“Foreign ministers will discuss the best way to organize NATO’s support to Ukraine to make it stronger, more predictable and more sustainable,” a NATO official said. “No final decisions will be made at the April ministerial meetings and discussions will continue as we approach the July summit in Washington.”

Stoltenberg’s proposal also envisages NATO taking more control over the coordination of arms deliveries to Kiev from the US-led grouping. This could limit Donald Trump’s influence on helping Ukraine if he becomes president.

On the other hand, it is a shift of the entire NATO. Until now, the Alliance has made it clear that although its individual members support Ukraine, the Alliance as a whole does not stand for a clash with Russia.

The problem, however, is that both the Ukrainians and the West make mistakes, which was evident, for example, in the counter-offensive of Ukraine in 2023, which ended in failure.

And then, according to the Ukrainians, there is one more problem. The Russians are always learning, and sooner or later they will find an answer to every weapon that the West supplies to the Ukrainians.

“Zaluzhnyi called it the ‘War of One Chance,'” said one of the officers. “By that he meant that the weapons systems would become redundant very quickly because the Russians can quickly counter them. For example, we successfully used Storm Shadow and SCALP missiles (supplied by Britain and France) – but only for a short time. Russians are constantly studying. They don’t give us a second chance. And they are successful at it.”

And to make matters worse, the Ukrainians often receive Western weapon systems only with a cross after the funus, i.e. too late. One example could be, for example, deliveries of F-16 fighters. “F-16s were needed in 2023; they will not be suitable for 2024,” said one of the Ukrainian officers.

“In recent months, we began to notice rockets fired by the Russians from Dzhankoy in northern Crimea, but without explosive warheads. We didn’t understand what they were doing, and then we figured it out: They’re measuring distance,” he said. The officer explained that Russia has been calculating where best to deploy its S-400 missile and radar systems to maximize the area they can cover to target the F-16 fighters and keep them away from the front lines and Russian logistics hubs,” a military official said. .

It is said that the Ukrainians would need about 4 million artillery shells and 2 million drones. “We need howitzers and grenades, hundreds of thousands of grenades and rockets,” said one of the commanders, adding that the Ukrainians have repeatedly told the West that they have field experience, that they understand this war and that they need Western resources to survive in it. available.

The Czech initiative, which promised to deliver hundreds of thousands of artillery shells to Ukraine, is welcome, but from the point of view of the numbers that one of the Ukrainian commanders put forward, the help is still insufficient.

Commanders also stress that they need many, many more men. The country currently does not have enough men on the front lines, and this exacerbates the problem of insufficient support from the West. And recruitment should be launched well before the expected Russian offensive. The new soldiers will have to stand in their places.

And even that can be a problem. President Zelenskyi and his ruling partners are afraid of mobilizing the wider masses. Due to the expected political upheavals that the wave of mobilization could cause.

“We’re not just facing a military crisis — we’re also facing a political crisis,” one of the sources told Politico.

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