Hockey in numbers: Prediction of the first match of the semi-finals of the Tipsport extraliga | Hokej.cz

Thanks to our Game Score model, we bring you not only the prediction of the entire season but also the prediction of individual matches. What tips do we offer (not only) bettors before today’s Tipsport extraliga playoff duel?

Today’s match

The semifinals of the Tipsport extraliga playoff will start today with the winner of the regular season, Pardubice Dynamo. In Pardubice, the fifth team of the regular season, Litvínov, will be presented, which defeated Plzeň in the preliminary round and dealt with Kometa Brno in six games in the quarterfinals.

The favorites of this series are quite clearly Pardubice, as we wrote in the numerical preview of this series. Bookmakers see this semi-final very similarly.

Logically, Pardubice are also the favorites for the first home match of the series, when they have a slightly over 70% chance of winning.

Our tip

As already mentioned, bookmakers see the series between Pardubice and Litvínov very similarly, and this also applies to today’s first match. There is no exchange rate advantage on either side.

Note: The numbers in brackets after the team name are Tipsport’s listed odds for that team to win the decider, unless otherwise stated.

About the Game Score model

You can read how the Game Score model works here. Before last season, our model underwent several changes, which you can learn more about in this article. How the prediction itself is based on it is described in more detail here. An overview of complete predictions before the start of this season can be found here.

The main role in the predictions of individual matches is played by the current roster of the team, which takes into account injuries or match penalties. The home environment is also a factor, with home teams winning more than 57% of their games over the last three seasons.

The odds of individual teams in a match are determined based on the results of 50,000 simulations. And the odds, which you can find in the last column, are based on the percentage chance of the given team winning. In the regular season, our model correctly determined the winner of the match 62% of the time.

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